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Chance and the Currency of Preparedness: A Case Study on an Indonesian Handbag Entrepreneur, Sunny Kamengmau

October 13, 2025 By Nagesh Belludi Leave a Comment

Luck Meets Readiness: Harnessing Chance with the Currency of Preparedness

Travelers are often captivated by the allure of handcrafted treasures they discover in remote corners of the world. This fascination frequently sparks a compelling entrepreneurial question: Could these artisanal goods be imported and sold abroad? That question—equal parts reverence and ambition—is often where vision begins. Yet the true challenge of bringing such ideas to life lies in finding the right local partner—someone deeply embedded in the artisan community and capable of navigating the complex processes of recruiting artisans, managing production, and ensuring quality control.

Prepared Minds and Fortunate Turns

This is the story of Sunny Kamengmau, an Indonesian entrepreneur whose boutique handbag brand, Robita, won the hearts of consumers in Japan. Originally from a small village on a far-flung island in the archipelago, Sunny moved to Bali in search of a livelihood. He worked various jobs—hotel gardener, security guard—and began learning English and Japanese to better connect with international visitors.

In 1995, serendipity arrived not as a revelation but as a conversation. A chance meeting with Japanese entrepreneur Nobuyuki Kakizaki at a hotel set the stage for an extraordinary journey. The two remained in contact, and three years later, they launched an initiative to create handmade leather bags for the Japanese market, where quiet beauty is deeply appreciated. That marked the birth of Robita.

Collaborating closely with local artisans, Sunny embraced traditional craftsmanship. Robita bags became known for their distinctive qualities: unstrained leather that preserved its natural character, rare embroidery and dyeing techniques, and hand-stitched textures that conveyed authenticity. These thoughtful details resonated with discerning Japanese consumers, who valued the brand’s understated elegance and rustic charm.

The Quiet Routes of Opportunity

The road to success was anything but smooth. Sunny faced financial hardships and endured the loss of his Japanese business partner. Still, his resilience bore fruit. Robita earned international acclaim and eventually opened a boutique in Bali. Despite its loyal following and notable achievements, the brand recently announced its closure—without a lengthy explanation. Just a quiet farewell.

Entrepreneurship is often associated with strategy and grit. But Robita’s story reveals a deeper truth: Success frequently depends as much on serendipity—timing, circumstances, and chance encounters—as it does on effort. Sunny didn’t manufacture his opportunity. He met it halfway, prepared to rise when it came. Preparedness doesn’t guarantee triumph, but it positions one to seize opportunity when it arrives.

Idea for Impact: Hard work doesn’t always pay off, but sometimes, it does—if luck chooses to lend a hand.

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Filed Under: Business Stories, Mental Models, Sharpening Your Skills Tagged With: Creativity, Entrepreneurs, Humility, Innovation, Luck, Marketing, Parables, Problem Solving, Skills for Success

Japan’s MUJI Became an Iconic Brand by Refusing to Be One

September 26, 2025 By Nagesh Belludi Leave a Comment

Minimalism as Rebellion: MUJI's Counterstrike Against Consumer Excess

In the heyday of Japan’s consumer electronics boom, MUJI—short for Mujirushi Ryohin, or “no-brand quality goods”—stepped onto the scene as a quiet revolution. Launched in 1980, it offered a counterstrike against a market bloated with luxury logos and feature-packed excess. Consumers were drowning in labels and needless complexity. MUJI tossed them a lifeline.

Its genius wasn’t invention; it was restraint. MUJI’s philosophy ran on three simple principles: repurpose what others waste, strip out the ornamental, and reject the superfluous. This wasn’t minimalism for aesthetic purity. It was minimalism in service of reason—clarity with purpose, bordering on rebellion.

Take ochiwata, the cotton lint most manufacturers discard during combing. MUJI turns it into dishcloths, a subtle jab at industries obsessed with perfect materials. Or consider “Imperfect Dried Shiitake,” a bold rejection of beauty standards in the produce aisle. These items don’t hide their flaws; they wear them honestly. Even the packaging puts the product before the brand. MUJI doesn’t shout. It invites.

In a market starving for identity, MUJI chose integrity over polish. It slashed costs not to be cheap, but to be real. It isn’t anti-luxury; it’s anti-nonsense.

Idea for Impact: People don’t buy what you make—they buy what it means. MUJI nailed the message: by refusing to be a brand, it became one. A whisper that silenced the noise.

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Filed Under: Business Stories, MBA in a Nutshell, Mental Models, The Great Innovators Tagged With: Creativity, Innovation, Japan, Marketing, Materialism, Parables, Simple Living

The ‘Small’ Challenge for Big Companies

September 19, 2025 By Nagesh Belludi Leave a Comment

Innovation: The 'Small' Challenge for Big Companies This HBR article highlights a compelling asymmetry in team dynamics: large teams excel at development and deployment, while small teams are better suited for disruption. Large teams execute. Small teams disrupt. The former march in formation; the latter think in rebellion.

Anecdotally, that rings true. Smaller teams, leaner in structure and tighter in cohesion, thrive at birthing radical ideas and reframing paradigms. They move quickly because they aren’t bogged down by bureaucracy and status meetings. They share context without memos, pivot without permission, and fail without fanfare. Their edge is subtraction: less red tape, fewer egos, and, mercifully, no corporate pep talks. That’s why Amazon swears by the “two-pizza team” rule—agility thrives in small bites.

Large teams thrive at refinement. They have the muscle to scale, test, and adapt ideas for customers. Their access to resources, infrastructure, and markets gives them an advantage in execution.

Disruption favors the quiet hum of concentrated minds, not the roar of crowded rooms. That’s why forward-thinking companies seed Skunkworks, nimble innovation cells within large organizations, designed to marry the agility of small teams with the power of big ones. A lightweight alternative is the ad hoc hackathon: short, focused bursts of innovation where small teams or cross-company partnerships can rapidly prototype with minimal overhead.

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Filed Under: Leading Teams, Mental Models Tagged With: Biases, Creativity, Diversity, Group Dynamics, Innovation, Psychology, Social Dynamics, Teams

The Mere Exposure Effect: Why We Fall for the Most Persistent

September 1, 2025 By Nagesh Belludi Leave a Comment

Repetition Until Enlightenment: The Mere Exposure Effect Explains Why We Fall for the Most Persistent

GEICO is renowned for its relentless and quirky advertising. Its auto insurance campaigns feature a memorable, rotating cast of mascots, most famously a talking gecko with a British accent proclaiming the catchy “15% in 15 minutes.” Also prominent are a group of cavemen, hilariously offended by the notion that buying insurance is “so easy, even a caveman could do it,” and a cheerful camel celebrating Hump Day. These ads are everywhere: television, radio, online—even pre-rolls before YouTube videos. The repetition isn’t accidental—it’s strategic. GEICO has laced its brand into consumers’ consciousness by brute repetition. We’re not so much convinced by GEICO as held hostage by its consistency. And it works. We know them. We might even trust them—begrudgingly.

That’s a prime example of the Mere Exposure Effect. Coined by psychologist Robert Zajonc, this mental model describes the human tendency to prefer things simply because we’ve encountered them before. It’s a cognitive shortcut: familiarity breeds comfort, and comfort breeds trust—not because the thing is better, but because it’s known.

Exposure: The Unseen Influence

Consider also the example of Empire Today, a company that sells installed carpet, hardwood, and vinyl flooring. But what it sells most effectively is its phone number. “800-588-2300 Empire Today!” is a jingle that’s been broadcast across U.S. television and radio since the 1970s. It’s not catchy in the traditional sense. It’s simply repeated so often that it becomes part of the mental wallpaper. We don’t need to know what Empire does to know how to reach them. That’s the power of exposure.

McDonald's McDonald’s has long leaned on jingles like “I’m Lovin’ It,” which, while not musically profound, have been repeated for decades. This repetition creates emotional anchoring. We associate the tune with the brand, and that association influences behavior. Ba-da-ba-ba-ba.

But repetition is a blade that dulls quickly. When exposure becomes saturation, we turn away. The trick is knowing when to stop before we reach for the mute button. This effect isn’t limitless—it’s a tightrope.

And it doesn’t just live in advertising. It’s stitched into daily life. We reach for the song we’ve played thirty times because it feels safe. We favor faces we recognize in crowds because unfamiliarity feels like risk. Familiarity smooths the world’s sharp edges. We call it instinct, but often it’s just recall with better PR.

How Repetition Rewires Your Preferences

We’re drawn not only to the thing itself, but to its repetition, its stability. Something consistent across time and place—same colors, same voice, same message—feels trustworthy. And when others start echoing that message, the effect deepens. Exposure transforms into consensus, and suddenly what’s familiar becomes what’s “right.”

We don’t choose what we like as much as we think. We gravitate toward what we’ve seen, heard, and scrolled past enough times for our brains to say, “Sure, why not.” The Mere Exposure Effect doesn’t shout—it accumulates. And by the time we realize how much it’s shaped our tastes, we’ve already bought in.

Idea for Impact: Familiarity breeds trust, often without scrutiny. Over-familiarity channels the lazy mind. We stop questioning not when we’re convinced, but when we’re accustomed.

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Filed Under: Business Stories, MBA in a Nutshell, Mental Models, Sharpening Your Skills Tagged With: Assertiveness, Biases, Communication, Creativity, Innovation, Marketing, Mental Models, Parables, Persuasion, Psychology

The Wisdom of the Well-Timed Imperfection: The ‘Pratfall Effect’ and Authenticity

August 4, 2025 By Nagesh Belludi Leave a Comment

The Wisdom of the Authentic Pratfall: How Imperfection and Honesty Build Real Connection

In a culture obsessed with flawless presentation, revealing one’s imperfections may seem risky. Yet it can be unexpectedly powerful. This paradox—where a minor misstep enhances likability—is known in psychology as the Pratfall Effect, a phenomenon explored by social psychologist Elliot Aronson in the 1960s. His research found that a small, harmless error, when made by someone already viewed as competent, could deepen that person’s appeal. Competence inspires admiration, but fallibility invites connection.

Aronson illustrated this effect through a clever experiment. Participants listened to audio recordings of quiz-show contestants: one confident and high-performing, the other more mediocre. In some versions, the contestant spilled coffee mid-interview—a minor blunder. The competent contestant’s likability surged after the incident. In contrast, the average one saw no such boost. The study’s insight was precise: credibility sets the stage, but imperfection activates charm. Without initial competence, a flaw simply reads as failure.

The term Pratfall comes from slapstick comedy—a clumsy tumble played for laughs. But in the context of psychology, it gestures toward something more revealing: perfection creates distance. It can feel untouchable, even intimidating. A stumble, however slight, signals humanity. We feel closer not when others perform flawlessly, but when they allow their guard to drop.

Imperfect, Therefore Credible: When Admitting Weakness Builds Trust

Beyond Flawless: How Imperfection Boosts Appeal, Featuring Unilever's Real Beauty Revolution Marketers have adapted this insight with varying degrees of boldness. Dove, the personal care brand under Unilever, redefined beauty norms by spotlighting authenticity. Its “Real Beauty” campaign intentionally moved away from airbrushed models and showcased everyday bodies in ways that emphasized inner confidence and natural grace. Footwear retailer Zappos, known for its customer service ethos, leaned into its imperfections—openly acknowledging logistical hiccups and turning transparency into a form of customer intimacy. Ryanair, the European budget airline, took a more sardonic approach: it flaunts its no-frills discomfort, mocks traditional notions of luxury, and builds loyalty by refusing to pretend it was anything other than economical. Across these cases, flaws—whether candid or stylized—became signals of integrity.

For Ryanair especially, naming its limitations worked to clarify its priorities. Legroom may be tight, amenities scarce—but the promise of low fares and operational efficiency remained untouched. By owning its tradeoffs, the airline avoided suspicion. Concealment breeds doubt. Disclosure builds trust.

There’s also rhetorical value in this strategy. When a brand confesses to a shortcoming, it earns credibility—positioning itself to be believed when making a claim. Guinness, once hampered by delays in delivery, recast the wait as part of its charm with the tagline “Good things come to those who wait,” transforming patience into a premium. Stella Artois, a Belgian lager with upscale branding, embraced its high price point with “Reassuringly Expensive”—suggesting quality rather than excess. Lyons, a tea brand rooted in Irish tradition, celebrated its product not as a daily necessity but as a gentle, well-deserved indulgence. In each case, marketers found strength not by dodging imperfection, but by weaving it into the narrative.

Still, the Pratfall Effect has its internal tensions. Within corporate settings, the incentives that shape messaging can clash with those that govern individual risk. What elevates the brand might jeopardize the marketer. Vulnerability can look bold on a campaign brief but risky on a performance review. If an attempt at candor falters, it may be viewed as recklessness. In such environments, polish prevails.

In Business and Life, Curated Imperfection Creates Shared Meaning, Not Just Market Advantage

Some brands opt out entirely. Chanel and Lexus, for instance, present pristine identities that avoid the pratfall’s logic. Chanel tells stories of timeless elegance—floating above everyday context, immune to blemish. Lexus, Toyota’s luxury arm, relies on precision and craftsmanship. Their appeal stems from aspiration, not relatability. To these brands, imperfection risks dilution; their value proposition hinges on exclusivity, not accessibility.

Embrace Your Pratfall: How Mistakes and Authenticity Build Connection Yet the Pratfall Effect isn’t limited to marketing. It manifests in the more intimate moments of daily life. In romance, a small confession can melt emotional distance. In job interviews, an honest error, paired with thoughtfulness, can signal growth and humility. The fusion of capability and candor conveys something rare: a confidence that doesn’t rely on control.

This balancing act—practicing vulnerability without artifice—reveals character. Perfection, though impressive, can feel sterile. What persuades is often more textured: a self-aware flaw, deliberately shared, speaks volumes. It’s not an apology. It’s a quiet assurance that there’s nothing to hide. In this way, imperfection becomes a bridge—connecting people not by virtue of polish, but through the unmistakable resonance of being real.

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  3. Airline Safety Videos: From Dull Briefings to Dynamic Ad Platforms
  4. The Loss Aversion Mental Model: A Case Study on Why People Think Spirit is a Horrible Airline
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Filed Under: Business Stories, MBA in a Nutshell, Mental Models, Sharpening Your Skills Tagged With: Assertiveness, Biases, Creativity, Critical Thinking, Likeability, Marketing, Parables, Personality, Persuasion, Psychology, Simple Living

What Virgin’s Richard Branson Teaches: The Entrepreneur as Savior, Stuntman, Spectacle

August 1, 2025 By Nagesh Belludi Leave a Comment

'The Virgin Way' by Richard Branson (ISBN 1591847982) Read any biography of Richard Branson, the flamboyant founder of the Virgin Group, and you’ll find that risk and unpredictability are his most loyal allies. His theatrics routinely turn heads and dominate headlines.

In 2002, Branson staged a media spectacle by descending onto New York’s Times Square via crane for a “Full Monty”-inspired launch of Virgin Mobile’s pay-as-you-go service. He stripped down—though he was actually wearing a muscle-man bodysuit—with only a Virgin cell phone concealing his essentials. The campaign was unapologetically loud, engineered for maximum attention.

It wasn’t his first Times Square spectacle: in the ’90s, he drove a tank through the square to promote Virgin Cola and orchestrated the demolition of a Coca-Cola billboard. The stunt captured his belief in the value of attention at any cost. In 2022, he parked a 70-foot rocket in Times Square to announce Virgin Orbit’s IPO. The gesture remained theatrical and precisely engineered to spark headlines. In 1996, to launch Virgin Brides and enter the bridal wear market, Branson shaved off his signature beard and appeared in a full white wedding gown.

Richard Branson's Times Square Underwear Stunt Launched Virgin Mobile with a Media Frenzy Virgin Cola flopped. So did Virgin Mobile. And Virgin Brides. But the stunts succeeded. Each one defied convention and lodged itself in public memory with theatrical flair.

Branson’s bold moves demonstrate how spectacle and risk can redefine brand identity. He sees what many executives miss.

  • Break the Mold: Reject familiar tactics and command attention.
  • Embrace the Spotlight: Use charisma to connect and leave an impression.
  • Stage the Frenzy: Design moments that ignite buzz and build conversation.

Idea for Impact: Branson doesn’t just sell mobile plans, soft drinks, bridal wear, or transatlantic flights. He sells himself and the Virgin brand. The identity is loud, unmissable, and opposed to moderation. Authenticity, when wielded boldly, can transform even fleeting gestures into lasting impact.

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Filed Under: Business Stories, MBA in a Nutshell, The Great Innovators Tagged With: Creativity, Entrepreneurs, Icons, Innovation, Likeability, Marketing, Mental Models, Parables, Personality

What the Rise of AI Demands: Teaching the Thinking That Thinks About Thinking

July 22, 2025 By Nagesh Belludi Leave a Comment

The Rise of AI Demands Teaching the Thinking That Thinks About Thinking Spellcheck doesn’t create bad spellers; it lets spelling atrophy. Autocorrect and red squiggles do the work, and users stop internalizing rules. Just as GPS dulls a sense of direction, spellcheck erodes linguistic instinct. Remove the tool, and spelling falters—not from ignorance, but from disuse.

Now, AI poses a deeper threat. Its danger isn’t power; it’s passivity. Overreliance produces a generation unprepared for work that demands creativity and critical thought. Intellectual laziness already plagues classrooms, and AI only intensifies it.

To resist that drift, education must evolve. It isn’t enough to teach information—we must also teach metacognition. Students need to examine their own thinking: to ask why they believe something, how they reach conclusions, and where their reasoning fails. AI can assist, but only if used deliberately. It should provoke thought rather than replace it. By offering counterarguments and exposing blind spots, it sharpens cognition.

Idea for Impact: The real danger isn’t AI itself. It’s what we stop doing when it takes over. The spellcheck lesson still holds: unused skills don’t vanish; they decay.

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Disrupt Yourself, Expand Your Reach.

June 28, 2025 By Nagesh Belludi Leave a Comment

Realize Your Creative Potential: Do Something Unfamiliar Each Month Commit to doing something unfamiliar each month.

Enroll in an art class. Write a poem. Venture into a new part of town. Experience an unfamiliar culture. Ride pillion and see the road from another angle.

These moments of disruption do more than jolt you out of habit—they condition you for uncertainty, prime your instincts, and spark dormant creativity. The comfort zone shrinks as your perspective widens.

Facing discomfort reveals latent strengths. Each small challenge recalibrates how you see yourself—and what you’re capable of.

Disruption isn’t indulgence. It’s preparation. And the next step could redraw your path entirely.

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FedEx’s ZapMail: A Bold Bet on the Future That Changed Too Fast

June 24, 2025 By Nagesh Belludi Leave a Comment

The Federal Express ZapMail Service: Innovation is always a wager against the unknown Fred Smith, the visionary founder of Federal Express (now FedEx,) passed away this past Sunday. His legacy was forged in audacity—first with a Yale term paper proposing overnight delivery, then with a weekend at the Las Vegas blackjack tables that kept his faltering company alive. He didn’t just dream big—he bet on it.

In 1984, he placed one of his boldest wagers yet: ZapMail. Years before email and office fax machines became commonplace, ZapMail offered near-instant document delivery—up to five pages, in under two hours, for $35. It was a pioneering attempt to leap beyond physical logistics into the realm of electronic communication, powered by Federal Express’s own couriers, custom-built fax machines, and a private digital network.

For individuals or companies with low volumes, the process was hands-on. A Federal Express courier would collect the document and deliver it to a local depot. From there, it was transmitted over the company’s proprietary network to another depot near the recipient, where a second courier printed, packaged, and hand-delivered it. For higher-volume clients, Federal Express streamlined the process by installing a “Zapmailer” fax machine directly on the customer’s premises, enabling direct electronic transmission to other ZapMail-equipped locations.

But ZapMail collapsed under the weight of rapid change. Fax machines soon became affordable, allowing businesses to bypass Federal Express and send documents themselves. The middleman role—and its premium fee—no longer made sense. Add privacy concerns about documents being handled by third parties, and ZapMail’s fate was sealed. The service shut down just two years later.

It’s a powerful reminder that innovation is always a wager against the unknown. Even in failure, ZapMail embodied the spirit that defined Fred Smith. He glimpsed tomorrow’s possibilities and pursued them with conviction. Innovation demands nerve—and Smith had it in spades.

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Filed Under: Business Stories, Great Personalities, Leadership, The Great Innovators Tagged With: Creativity, Decision-Making, Entrepreneurs, Icons, Innovation, Leadership, Leadership Lessons, Parables

AI, Hype, and the Art of Overstatement

June 19, 2025 By Nagesh Belludi Leave a Comment

'Green Dot Assist' at Starbucks: AI, Hype, and the Art of Overstatement The corporate world has developed a compulsive need to slap “AI” onto everything, as if the mere presence of the term turns mundane software into magic. Since large language models like ChatGPT hit the scene in late 2022, the trend has only accelerated, rebranding basic automation as “AI-powered” marvels—at least in name.

Starbucks has just jumped in, triumphantly announcing it’s using “AI to cut coffee prep time.” One might imagine robotic baristas adjusting grind size and pulling espresso shots with machine-like precision. But no. Instead, they’ve introduced “Green Dot Assist,” a digital manual on an iPad. It won’t brew coffee. It won’t optimize anything. It’ll simply answer questions like “What’s in the seasonal gingerbread latte?” and “How do I unjam the ice machine?”

This isn’t some groundbreaking AI revolution streamlining coffee prep. It’s a search function. A glorified FAQ. A way for overworked baristas to quickly check whether that obscure drink from last year’s promotion had caramel drizzle on the cold foam. But slap “AI” on it, and suddenly, it’s innovation.

AI has become a hollow incantation—uttered by the unctuous and the unthinking to signal “progress” without delivering any. And consumers and investors are eagerly lapping up this glorification of the mundane. Companies know it triggers excitement, even when the product is just the siren song of hollow spectacle.

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Filed Under: Business Stories, MBA in a Nutshell Tagged With: Biases, Creativity, Innovation, Marketing, Parables, Starbucks

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About: Nagesh Belludi [hire] is a St. Petersburg, Florida-based freethinker, investor, and leadership coach. He specializes in helping executives and companies ensure that the overall quality of their decision-making benefits isn’t compromised by a lack of a big-picture understanding.

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